Real options and demographic decisions
نویسندگان
چکیده
The theory of real options is used to incorporate the influence of uncertainty on demographic decision-making. The decision to have children is formulated as an investment using portfolio theory. The timing of the decision to have a child is modelled as a real options decision, with uncertainty affecting a woman’s ability to exercise the doption to waitT in order to delay or space births. An increase and reduction in uncertainty on this option is explored. Compared to the widely used net present value (NPV) framework, the real options approach (ROA) better explains the process of demographic decision-making in poor countries. D 2005 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved. JEL classification: D81; J13; O12
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